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Professor J Paul Dunne


Paul Dunne is visiting Professor at the School of Economics at the University of Cape Town and a research affiliate of the Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU). He is also Emeritus Professor of Economics at Bristol Business School, University of the West of England Bristol and visiting Professor at the Faculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok

He is also editor, with Jurgen Brauer of the Economics of Peace and Security Journal and chair of Economists for Peace and Security (UK) and a Fellow of a Economists for Peace and Security (USA)

RepEc/IDEAS page here
Email: jpdbris[no]@[spam]gmail.com (Please remove [no] and [spam] before emailing)

Contents:

* Current Research Interests
* Recent Publications
* Teaching Interests and Materials
* Other Information
* Datasets
* Journals
* EPS
* Useful Links

Current Research Interests

Main area of research is the economics of peace and security although involved in research in other areas of areas of applied economics and econometrics including: industrial economics; marxist economics; macroeconometric modelling; analysis of large data sets; macroeconomic policy analysis; and structural change.

STOP PRESS:


Work in Progress:
* "The Demand for Military Spending in Egypt", UWE Economics Discussion Paper 1001 Aamer S. Abu-Qarn, J Paul Dunne, Yasmine M. Abdelfattah and Shadwa Zaher here
*"Military Keynesianism" Paper presented to the Peace Economics and Peace Science Conference, Beijing, China, November 2010. Forthcoming 2011 in edited collection by Manas Chatterji and Chen Bo, Emerald: Bingley, UK. Mimeo, UWE. Discussion Paper version at: here
*"Assessing the effects of military expenditures on economic growth", Chapter 17 in Stegios Skaperdas and Michelle Garfinkel (eds) (2011)'Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict', Oxford University Press. With Giorgio Agostino and Luca Pieroni. Discussion Paper version at: here
* "Determining Military Expenditures: Arms Races and Spill-Over Effects in Cross-Section and Panel Data", UWE Discussion Paper 0901 J Paul Dunne, Sam Perlo-Freeman and Ron Smith here

Projects:
* "The Costs of War/Terror to Industry" One Earth Future Foundation/ Economists for Peace and Security. With Jurgen Brauer.
* "The Macroeconomics of Military Spending", US Institute for Peace. With Jurgen Brauer
* Economic Impact of Military R&D. April 2008. Flemish Peace Institute With Derek Braddon.
* ESRC funded project on Arms Production and Trade in the Post Cold War Era with Maria Garcia Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith. Details here.
* Leverhulme Trust funded project on Defence Industrial Restructuring, Conversion and Economic Growth in South Africa with Peter Batchelor. Details here.
* Trade and Poverty Project with SALDRU, University of Cape Town. Details here.

Other:
* Report published by the Flemish Peace Institute Economic Impact of Military R&D. April 2008. With Derek Braddon. Available here
* Report published by BASIC on The Real Cost Behind Trident Replacement and the Carriers here. With Sam Perlo-Freeman and Paul Ingram
* Royal Economic Society Conference 2005 Session : The Economics of Conflict and War
* Papers with Sam Perlo-Freeman prepared for Oxfam for their Control Arms campaign, 2003:
The Impact of a Responsible Arms Control Policy on the UK Economy
Bigger than the Sum of its Parts: Components and the Impact of a Responsible Arms Control Policy on the UK Economy
* Paper on The Changing Economics of Security presented to the AHE Conference at UWE, July 2007 here
* Paper with Sam Perlo-Freeman on The Opportunity Cost of Trident Replacement and the Aircraft Carriers Presented for CND to group of interested MPs, 26th Feb 2007 is here
* Paper with Jurgen Brauer on The Economics of Arms Trade Offsets presented to the International Seminar on Defence, 13-15th November, 2006 New Delhi. here
* Paper on Sector Futures: Defence Industry prepared with Cambridge Econometrics for European Monitoring Centre on Change here

Recent Publications

Recent Edited Books:

  • Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms trade Offsets, Routledge, 2004. Edited with Jurgen Brauer. 0-415-33106-4
  • Arming the South: The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries. Palgrave, April 2002. Edited with Jurgen Brauer. 0-333-75440-9

    •

    Recent Articles Include:

  • "Military Spending, Conflict and Growth". Forthcoming 2011 Defence and Peace Economics. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Corruption, Military Spending and Growth". Forthcoming 2011 Defence and Peace Economics. With Giorgio Agostini and Luca Pieroni. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Military Spending and Growth in the EU15". Forthcoming 2011 Defence and Peace Economics. With Eftychia Nikolaidou. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Optimal military Spending in the US: A Time Series Analysis". With Giorgio Agostini and Luca Pieroni. Economic Modelling. Vol. 28, 2011, pp 1068-1077 Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Macroeconomics and Violence",2011 in Spanish in Revista, Vol. 13 No. 1, 2011, pp 1-39. With Jurgen Brauer. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • Military Expenditure and Granger Causality: A Critical Review. Defence and Peace Economics 20th Anniversary Issue. Vol. 21, no. 5-6, 2010, Oct-Dec, pp 427-441.With Ron Smith. UWE Discussion Paper version here
  • "The Demand for Military Spending: Hostility versus Capability". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 19, no. 2, 2008, pp293-302. With Sam Perlo-Freeman and Ron Smith. UWE Discussion Paper version here
  • "Economics, Conflict and War", Real-World Economics Review. Issue no. 46, 20 May 2008, pp 147-157. With Fanny Coulomb. Available here
  • "The Demand for Food in South Africa". South African Journal of Economics, 2008. With Bev Edkins. Version available here
  • "Trade and Poverty in South Africa: Exploring the Trade-Labour Linkages", Journal of Studies in Economics and Econometrics (SEE), 2007, 31(2). With Lawrence Edwards. ISSN: 0379-6205. A version can be sourced from SALDRU here
  • "Determining the Defence Industrial Base." Defence and Peace Economics, 2007, Vol. 18, Issue 3, pp199-221. ISSN 1024 2694. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith.
  • "Aggressive Militarism or Security: The opportunity cost of Trident replacement and the aircraft carrier programme" Peace, Conflict & Development, 10, March 2007. ISSN 1749-852X. See journal . With Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Transformation or Stagnation? The South African Defence Industry in the Early 21st Century". Defence Studies , 2006, Vol. 6 No. 3. With Richard Haines. ISSN 1470-2436.
  • "After the Slaughter: Reconstructing Mozambique and Rwanda" Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Vol. 1 No. 2, June 2006. ISSN 1749-852X. See EPSJ
  • "The Making of Arms in South Africa", Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Vol. 1, No. 1, January, 2006. ISSN 1749-852X. See EPSJ
  • "Managing Asymmetric Conflict" Oxford Economic Papers, 2006, Vol. 58, pp183-208, ISSN 0030-7653. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith.
  • "Arms Trade Offsets and Development", Africanus, Vol. 35, No. 1, 2005, pp. 14-24. With Jurgen Brauer.
  • "Models of Military Expenditure and Growth: A Critical Review", Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 16, No. 6, pp. 449 - 461, 2005. With Ron Smith and Dirk Willenbockel.
  • "Military Expenditure and Debt in Small Industrialised Economies: A Panel Analysis". Defence and Peace Economics , Vol. 15, No. 2, 2004, pp. 125-132. With Aylin Soydan and Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Military Expenditure and Debt in South America". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2004, pp. 173-187. With Aylin Soydan and Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in Developing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol 14, No. 6, 2003, pp. 461-474. With Sam Perlo Freeman
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in the Peripheral Economies of Europe". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol 14, No. 6, 2003, pp. 447-460. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Nikolaos Mylonidis.
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in Developing Countries". International Review of Applied Economics , Vol. 16, no. 4, 2003. With Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations in East Asia: Impulse Response Analysis" Asian Economic Journal, Vol. 17, No. 2, 2003, pp 185-203. With Ping Wang.
  • "Military Spending and Economic Growth in Small Industrialised Economies: A Panel Analysis". South African Journal of Economics. June 2002. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Ron Smith.
  • “The Demand for Military Spending in South Africa”.Journal of Peace Research. Vol. 39, No. 3, 2002, pp. 315-330. With Peter Batchelor and Guy Lamb.
  • "Military Spending and Economic Growth: A Demand and Supply Model for Greece 1960-96"Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 12, No. 1, Jan 2001. With Efytchia Nikolaidou.

    • Recent Chapters include:

  • "Macroeconomics and Violence", Chapter 14 in Derek Braddon and Keith Hartley (eds) (2011) Handbook on the Economics of Conflict. Cheltenham, UK: Elgar. With Jurgen Brauer. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Arms Trade Offsets: What Do We Know?". Chapter forthcoming 2010 in Chris Coyne (ed) Handbook in the Political Economy of War. With Jurgen Brauer. Version available here
  • "Macroeconomics and Violence", forthcoming 2010 as Chapter 14 in Derek Braddon and Keith Hartley (eds) Handbook on the Economics of Conflict. Cheltenham, UK: Elgar. With Jurgen Brauer. Version available here
  • " Military Industrial Complex". Chapter in Tan, Andrew (ed) (2010) The Global Arms Trade. Europa / Routledge (London), pp 281-292. With Elisabeth Skons. Version available here
  • "Military Spending and Development". Chapter in Tan, Andrew (ed) (2010) The Global Arms Trade. Europa / Routledge (London) pp 293305-292. With Mehmet Uye. Version available here
  • "Developments in the Global Arms Industry from the End of the Cold War to the mid-2000s" Chapter 2 in Bitzinger, R (ed) (2009) The Modern Defense Industry: Political, Economic and Technological Issues, Praeger Publishers, Westport.
  • "Peace, War and International Security: Economic Theories", Chapter 2 in Jacques Fontanel and Manas Chatterji (eds) (2008) War Peace and Security. Emerald: Bingley, pp13-36. With Fanny Coulomb. ISBN 978-0-4445-3244-2. Version available here
  • "Arms Production, Economics of" in Lester Kurtz (ed) Encyclopaedia of Violence, Peace and Conflict, 2nd edition. 2007, Elsevier. With Elisabeth Skons
  • "The Challenge of Reducing Arms Proliferation". Chapter 12 in Bjorn Lomborg (ed)(2007) Solutions to the World's Biggest Problems, Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-71597-3
  • "The Econometrics of Arms Races", in Hartley, K and T Sandler (eds)(2007) Handbook of Defence Economics Vol 2. Elsevier. With Ron Smith. ISBN: 0-444-51910-6
  • "The Evolution of the International Arms Industries", in Wolfram Elsner(ed)(2007) Arms, War, and Terrorism in the Global Economy Today -Economic Analyses and Civilian Alternatives. ISBN 3-8258-0045-8. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith
  • "Arms Production" Chapter 9 in Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) Yearbook, 2006. With Eamon Surry.
  • "Introduction", Chapter 1 in Jurgen Brauer and Paul Dunne (eds) Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms Trade Offsets, Routledge, September 2004. With Jurgen Brauer. ISBN: 0-415-33106-4
  • "Defence Industrial Participation: The Experience of South Africa", Chapter 19 in Jurgen Brauer and Paul Dunne (eds) Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms trade Offsets, Routledge, September 2004. With Guy Lamb ISBN: 0-415-33106-4
  • "Armed Conflicts, Decent Work and Other Socio-economic Issues in Africa", Chapter 2 in Eugenia Date-Bah (2003) Jobs After War, International Labour Office (ILO), Geneva.
  • "Arms Race Models and Econometric Applications". Chapter 11 in Paul Levine and Ron Smith (eds) (2003) "The Arms Trade, Security and Conflict", Routledge, pp 178-87. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Ron Smith. ISBN 0415306485
  • "The Making of Arms in South Africa", Economists Allied for Arms Reduction (ECAAR) Review, Volume1, January 2003.
  • "Introduction: Military Spending, Production and Development". Chapter 1 in Jurgen Brauer and J Paul Dunne (eds) (2002) " Arming the South The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries". Palgrave. With Jurgen Brauer. ISBN: 0-333-75440-9
  • "South Africa: An Econometric Analysis of Military Spending and Economic Growth". Chapter 9 in Jurgen Brauer and J Paul Dunne (eds) (2002) "Arming the South: The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries". Palgrave. With Alvin Birdi. ISBN: 0-333-75440-9
  • "Procurement in the Post Cold War World: A Case Study of the UK", Chapter in Claude Serfati (ed) (2002)"The Future of European Arms Production". Cost A10 Action, European Community Office for Official Publication, Brussels. With Gordon Macdonald.

    * See the links to project webpages above for downloadable versions of papers.

    * Here is a more complete list of my publications.

    Teaching Interests and Materials

    Active:
    * UCT: Economics of Conflict, War and Peace

    Previous courses
    * Chulalongkorn: Economics of Conflict, War, and Peace
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Empirical Analysis
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Applied Econometrics
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Dissertation
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Econometrics
    * UWE: MSc Finance Programme: Quantitative Research Methods
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Research Methods 2
    * BUE: Developments in Macroeconomics
    * BUE: Econometric Modelling a
    * BUE: Econometric Modelling b: Applied Econometrics
    * BUE: Projects
    * BUE: Research Methods and Resources
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Economic Theory and Applications
    * UWE: International Managerial Economics
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Defence and Peace Economics
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Maths & Stats Preparatory Course
    * NIEP Econometrics training programme home page
    * UWE: MSc IBE Econometric Theory and Methods, 2003-4
    * UWE: Empirical Political Analysis Sessions
    * UWE: Using Time Series Econometrics: training course
    * Rough Guide to Economics: Sessions run for African Initiatives NGO
    * Critical Political Economy

    Some other info that may be of interest:
    * Here is a reading list for a course on the Economics of Military Spending I ran at Leeds University.
    * Here is a reading list for a relatively novel course on Macroeconomics I ran at Leeds University. It considered different schools of thought in economics and the way they analysed economic problems.
    * Here is a brief introduction to Marxist Economics.

    Other Information

    *Here is a pdf copy of the text of my CAAT public lecture on The globalisation of arms production and trade: Implications for the UK economy November 9th 1999.
    *    Here is a copy of the text of my Middlesex University inaugural lecture on The Economics of War and Peace
    *    Here are some biographical details

    Datasets

    *Here is a copy of the dataset used in the Journal of Peace Research article (a  csv file).

    Links

    Journals I am involved with:

    * Economics of Peace and Security Journal: Online journal launched Jan 2006
    *    Cambridge Journal of Economics.
    *    Defence and Peace Economics
    *    International Review of Applied Economics
    *Frontiers in Finance and Economics

    EPS: Economists for Peace and Security

    * US.
    * UK

    Plus some other useful links:

    *EPS (UK)
    *Defence Links
    *Bristol Campaign Against Arms Trade (CAAT)
    *Inomics
    *WebEc
    *EconPapers
    *Resources for Economists
    *Intute: Social Sciences Gateway
    *Everton Football Club

     

     
    Paul Dunne
    Last updated by JPD: 18 Aug 2011